Tepom.com

Personal finance advice for the average American.

Friday, November 21, 2008

A Curmudgeon's Analysis of the US Automaker Bailout

A friend on mine once called me a curmudgeon. And I agreed -- well, kind of. A curmudgeon is defined as a crusty hotheaded cantankerous old person full of stubborn ideas. Generally speaking I'm a pretty nice guy, but it will be difficult to bring out my non-crusty, agreeable, go-with-the-flow side if you bring up the US automaker bailout.

With $700 of "bailout" money ripe for the picking, corporations large and small are looking for their piece of the pie -- including US automakers. Things are starting to look like the aftermath of a funeral. A rich man with a missing will has passed away unexpectedly and all of his grandkids are milling around. They're trying to get a piece of the estate, justifying their worthiness by any means possible. The funny thing is, a bunch of self-important knuckleheads in our legislature are going to decide who gets what.

This week marked the first time in my life that I watched C-Span for two nights straight (much to my surprise, my brain didn't turn into cottage cheese). The CEOs of the big three automakers were giving testimony to the self-important knuckleheads about why they should be permitted to borrow approximately 3.5% of the money that has been allocated to "fix" the economy. As I watched these three assholes ask for money, I began to understand why their companies are about to die. When asked if they (the automakers) would ever return with their tin cups, Rick Wagoner, CEO of GM, replied "well, I can only guarantee that I won't be back if you can guarantee me that the economy won't continue to fail." That moment is when they lost my support.

At that moment, I realized that those cocky SOBs didn't have a humble bone in their bodies. Instead of accepting responsibility for messing up, they instead blamed the market. Because of their own denial of mismanagement and their refusal to be introspective and propose real change, the American taxpayer shouldn't give them a penny. General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler are as American as a brand can be, but they've taken their good ol' boy status completely for granted. And I'm sure they were surprised when it was hinted that we would dare let them fail. But guess what, guys...the buck stops here.

Let's say your son came to your door asking for a thousand dollars because he was in trouble. Sure, you had the cash on you, but before handing over any of your green you'd probably ask why he needed it and how he'd plan to pay it back. The why and how are important because they indicate his ability and willingness to take the situation seriously. If he needed money because of a drug problem, you'd probably only loan it to him on the condition that the drug use would stop. Without that commitment, you'd be better off loaning it to someone else actually willing to do what was needed to turn his life around. The blame game of the big three proves to me that they're not ready to turn things around.

The big three have shown that they don't take the loan seriously because in two nights of watching C-Span I didn't hear a single one of them offer a plan large enough to reverse years of poor decision making and stubborn management. In fact their plans fell quite short of those required to justify this mega loan. They blamed their problems on the economy, not their outdated business practices. They believe that they're entitled to this money simply because they're as American as George Washington, not because they have a realistic recovery plan. Simply put, the Detroit automakers are as competitive in the auto industry as the Detroit Lions are in the professional football industry.

So here's my cantankerous message to the big three: Shame on you. Don't you dare testify to our self-important knuckleheads and tell them that if they don't give you the money, hundreds of thousands of jobs will be lost -- that's on you, not them. You're the ones responsible for not competing with international auto manufacturers. You're the ones that ridiculously thought that your companies could survive on national pride alone. You're the ones that somehow feel entitled to borrow this money just because of your brand name. You're the ones that have driven your companies into the ground for years, yet look to the economy as a scapegoat. I've got news for you: Your cars and management have sucked for years, yet 13 months ago, the Dow was at an all-time high. Get real...

And I hope that if the big three fail, our nation will learn an important lesson about the dangers of unionized labor. I'm all for people earning a living wage, but it must be determined by the market. Getting a group of workers together to strongarm an employer by dictating and enforcing their definition of a fair wage is simply an unsustainable, unrealistic endeavor that hurts more than it helps. I understand the reasoning behind unions, but as it's showing now, they can bring a giant to its knees. And when that happens, everyone loses. Tepom to the UAW: This is just as much on you as it is on the automakers.

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6 Comments:

  • At November 21, 2008 9:37 AM , Anonymous Bradley Coxe said...

    I'd rather they took the $25B, divided it up to everybody employed or drawing benefits from the companies and told them here is a check for retraining, moving to SC to get a job with BMW, or hold you over until Ford comes out of bankruptcy and you get another job with them.

     
  • At November 21, 2008 9:48 AM , Blogger Scott Bliss said...

    @bradley

    Thanks for the comment. I hope you read my post after I fixed a few typos.

    We could dream up all sorts of interesting things that they could do with that money.

    I've got to say, though, that I'd be nervous that a handout to the auto industry could start a snowball effect. I think that the loan to AIG may have got the ball rolling. If we lend to the big 3 (which I don't think we will), who'd be next? The airlines? Hospitals? Those damned lawyers?

    JK.

    Have a great day,
    Scott

     
  • At November 21, 2008 10:10 AM , Blogger John said...

    I got a kick out of the fact that as they were trying to explain all the cuts they have made to labor (and no real changes to business practices)... they got called out the fact that all 3 CEOs took their own private planes to DC and back. And the hubris that the Ford CEO had was appalling. His company is failing and he and/or his wife takes the private plane even on vacations. And when asked if he would cut that out, he snapped back saying that was part of his job. Not that he could afford 1st class plane tickets making $28,000,000 per year.

     
  • At November 21, 2008 10:21 AM , Blogger Scott Bliss said...

    @John

    Thanks for the comment.

    You know, I debated bringing up the private jet thing, but chose not to. Now that you did, I'll give my two cents....

    Yes, private jets are a part of being a CEO. These guys are going all over the globe for meetings, and flying commercial may not well be an option for them. As planes are often delayed, imagine what would happen if one of these guys didn't make it into Reagan or Dulles for their senate hearing!

    So even though it sucks, I have no real issue with executives using a private jet for business...but you know what? If they had flown commercial to their hearing, it would have been a very effective and creative gesture. It would show that they really empathize with the little guy -- the same little guy that's going to be loaning them the $25 billion.

    PS, I agree with you that if they use the company jet for family vacations, it's ridiculous...

     
  • At December 12, 2008 9:15 PM , Blogger Steve said...

    I think it is important to remember that this bailout is on top of $15B already set aside for 're-tooling' to help them make cars to compete with foreign companies, AND $50B in grants they are asking for from the Department of Energy for research and development of efficient cars.

    To put the $25B in more context, I heard on the news that the government could pay the wages of the jobs this bailout is supposed to save for like 5 years. I'm not sure if that is accurate, I heard it in passing from some commentator. So, we're taking on the payroll (most of the expense of running a business) of 3 huge companies for half a decade.

    I also think it would be fantastic for the industry to NOT bail them out. First of all, the big 3 aren't going to all collapse simultaneously and all fire everyone on the same Tuesday. ONE company MIGHT collapse, and 1-3 will probably file bankruptcy and screw everyone collecting retirement benefits. Suppose Chrysler goes under. Suddenly, Ford and GM have larger market shares. Good for them and their employees and shareholders. Plus, there is suddenly a huge amount of extremely cheap equipment and facilities, and available skilled workers. Good for companies like Tesla Motors and others that ARE actually trying to make COOL cars that will help us get off foreign oil. Hmmm... that sounds like the free market working.... a huge mismanaged company going under makes way for smaller companies with better business practices....

    Another thing. Let's stop acting like buying a BMW, Toyota, Honda, etc. is bad for America. Most of those cars are MADE IN THE USA, BY AMERICANS. Sure, much of the profits go to corporations based in other countries, but for years those foreign companies have been using good business practices to succeed and good incentives to hire the best engineers and factory workers IN THE USA, as well as abroad.

    The Obama campaign/transition team/soon to be administration has made energy and transportation one of their pet issues. They talk about light rail, efficient cars, etc. The BEST thing to get those running would be to NOT spend 25B on crappy cars, and letting one or two of the big 3 fail. Then you've got cheap facilities and workers experienced with heavy machinery ready to populate the USA with light rail, efficient cars, and all the other 'Green Collar' jobs I keep hearing about.

    This bailout goes against the free market, against fiscal responsibility, against energy policy, and against environmental policy. Obama should be speaking out strongly against it. It is inane. For once, I'd like a politician to say that, and for us as Americans to have the balls to let someone fall on their ass - I bet we'd all learn how to keep on our feet better by watching it.

     
  • At December 13, 2008 7:17 PM , Blogger Steve said...

    This supports what I was saying about the 'Buy American' phrase being largely BS:

    http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/12/12/american.cars/index.html?eref=rss_us

    Most models made by the Big 3 are made primarily of parts made outside the US, and several models are assembled in Mexico.

    Many Toyota models have more than 80% US made parts and are assembled in the US.

    And like I said, let's stop treating them as one giant company - it's THREE companies and not all three are going to fail simultaneously if there isn't a bailout. Put that money in development of light rail, and watch trains made by new, well-run companies rising from the ashes of Detroit.

     

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