Tepom.com

Personal finance advice for the average American.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Free Legitimate Websites That Actually Help Me Save Money

Here on tepom.com, I encourage you to spend less money and try to give advice on where to put what's left over. Today I'm going to share some free websites that actually/legitimately/genuinely help me and my family save money.

Upromise - If you're ever going to pay for someone's education, this is a must. It's a free service that rewards you with cash back for making purchases from its marketing partners. The only catch is that the money needs to be used to pay for college, which is enforced by placing your cash rewards into a 529 college savings account. Prices aren't marked up, you retain promotional discounts, and you can shop normally as you always would. There is a neat little toolbar that will detect when you're at a partner's website and will automatically give your reward. For example, ShoeBuy.com claims to have the lowest price on the internet for shoes and they also a partner with Upromise. Last week, I bought a pair of sneakers at an already low price, received ShoeBuy's 20% Columbus Day discount, and then another 10% cash back into my Upromise account. On average, Upromise deposits $270 per year into my college account, and I don't have to change my shopping habits one bit.

You also get credit for shopping at brick-and-mortar stores and restaurants by registering your credit and debit cards with Upromise and using them at the establishments. Additionally, by making travel reservations online, you will receive a percentage back after your stay is complete; I get 3% back on all hotel stays in addition to the other reward points offered by the hotel. And if I had used Upromise before I bought my house, I would have received about $700 for using a Century 21 agent.

Again, Upromise is completely free and easy to set up. You will earn between 1-10% cash back on your purchases and you can continue to shop like you always have for the best prices on goods, services, trips, and more. If you happen to land at a Upromise-sponsored business, you automatically receive your reward. If not, no big deal.

Mint.com - I've spoken of Mint several times on my site. It is a free personal finance website that provides software similar to Quicken, but with a much nicer and simpler user interface. Mint is incredibly easy to use and quite powerful, too.

If you have ever wanted to start a budget or to have a single view into all of your accounts -- be they retirement savings, college funds, checking and savings accounts, mortgage and auto loans, or credit cards -- this is the place to do it. By securely entering your username and password for each account, Mint will access the site and place your transactions into a single list. If you've got an issue with your spending discipline, Mint can keep it in check by showing you your up-to-date adherence to your monthly budget -- how much you've spent so far at restaurants, clothing stores, etc in a graphical, colorful "thermometer."

Also, be sure to check out their new Investments feature that will show how well your individual investments are doing compared to the rest of the market. And if you're interested in comparisons, you can easily see how much you spend at Starbucks or Walmart compared to other people in your city or state.

Craigslist - I hate to sound like a dirty college student, but you'd be amazed at the great deals you can find on Craigslist on all sorts of things. It's local, the stuff is inexpensive, it's super-duper easy and completely free to use for both buyers and sellers.

I don't use it as religiously as some, but before I make any major purchase, I'll look there. When I almost purchased an electric lawn edger at Lowes for $90, I bought the same one on craigslist for $25. When I almost bought the $500 bunkbed set for my guest room, I found the exact same one on Craigslist for $80. When I was inches away from buying a $2,000 digital piano in a music store, I found a comparable one on Craigslist for $400.

And Craigslist is a good way for you to get rid of your old stuff and make money. One Saturday when we cleaned out the garage, I made a Craigslist pile and then turned it into few hundred dollars cash within a week. It was nice to be rid of my old vacuum cleaner, a printer, and an extra coffee table, and I was happy to help some neighbors get their own good deals.

Please leave a comment with your own online all-stars that are legitimate, free, and will put cash in your pocket.

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Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Prosper.com: Convincing My Wife, Part 2

...she ain't convinced yet.

In my continued efforts to convince my wife that Prosper.com is a good investment, I'll analyze another aspect of the website today. Today I'll study what makes the successful lenders successful, what makes the average lenders average, and what makes the biggest losers, well, the biggest losers. I'll be moving my analysis platform to a fabulous website that focuses solely on Prosper.com lender and loan data, EricsCC.com.

To get things moving along quickly, consider the following graph that shows all lenders' rates of return on a seemingly normal distribution curve (please click any graphic to enlarge it):
As you can see, the majority of lenders are making money, and a significant majority are also earning a higher rate of return than they would earn in a traditional savings account. However, of all the non-average lenders, there are more that are doing exceptionally poor than doing exceptionally well. This indicates that if you do not follow a reasonable, disciplined investment strategy, you are more likely to lose at a high rate vs gain at a high rate. I guess the same could be said about the stock market. Essentially, it's easier to make mistakes than it is to get lucky.

Do you ever watch that show called The Biggest Loser on NBC? Well meet the biggest loser on Prosper.com: scoobydoo. Here is a graphical representation of his investments:
As Antonio from the Merchant of Venice would say, His "ventures are in one bottom trusted." This guy has invested a lot of money into Prosper.com and has given several large loans to people with C-grade credit. If one or two of those loans defaults, his ship will have sunk.

Let's look at another big loser's profile. How about jasonpeery:
Here's another guy that has a poor, lazy investment strategy. He has invested over $50,000 in Prosper.com listings and has scores of late payments and defaults. This guy has made several individual loans over $1,000, including one that is in default for $11,000! Why in the hell would you EVER loan $11,000 to a person with high-risk credit? And without even asking them a question! I sure hope that jasonpeery is better at personal finance than he is at determining to whom he should lend his money. As Neil Boortz would say, I bet that this guy has a lot of rent-to-own furniture in his house. My guess is that this guy's grandmother died recently and left him a bunch of money. No one that worked for $11,000 and saved it would ever be that careless in giving it to a single high-risk stranger.

One thing to remember about Prosper.com's fee structure is that all individual loan fees are passed along to the borrower except for a 1% loan servicing fee which is paid by the lender. This means that, statistically speaking, there is no reason to invest more than $50 in ANY candidate. Period. If I lend $500 to one person or $50 to ten people, I will pay the same loan servicing fee. And though I may save a little time by investing more money in lower-risk candidates, it's just plain silly to not diversify to the max with sub-prime borrowers.

OK, so let's look at someone with an average return. Consider the portfolio of helpishere777:
Ahh, this is refreshing. This user is right in the middle. He is earning about 11% interest, which takes into account the probability of his late payments going into default. He has invested the same $50,000 that our last big loser had invested, but in a completely different way. Look at the nice even relationship between all of the blue and green lines. Do you know why they're all equal? Because he invested the same $50 into every single loan. He understands that in order to mitigate his risk, he needs to diversify -- especially if he can do it at no additional cost!

Now let's look at the best lender. I'm not going to evaluate the person earning the highest return on his money. Currently that person is DrakeCO, who is earning about 33.6% interest. However, the average length of his loans is less than one month and most of his loans have been large amounts (max of $1,500) to high risk borrowers. Because of the youth of his loans and the nature of his strategy, he is bound to fail. Instead, I'm going to look at someone earning about 20% return with a reasonably large average loan period (if it's not old, the borrowers don't have time to be late!) and a significant amount of money. It looks to me like the golden child of Prosper.com is brother_tam. Here is his portfolio:

brother_tam is obviously smart and probably a little lucky. He has invested a little more than $10,000 in Prosper.com, mostly in $50 increments. Of his 224 loans, he has given more than $50 only 13 times, probably just to spice up his account. As a lender that understands the need to diversify. He is aware that he can invest in lower-credit borrowers because of his discipline. But he doesn't invest in only low-credit borrowers. He has a nice normal distribution of his loans that has a mean slightly on the low-credit side.

To be a successful lender on Prosper.com, you need to stick with a disciplined strategy that is formulated around the values of diversification and a normally distributed loan strategy. When choosing which loans to bid on, consider your current portfolio and establish a quota. "Right now, 75% of my loans are to high-risk borrowers. I should invest in some low-risk borrowers."

Remember: there is no penalty for investing the minimum amount in a person. And with more than 2,300 active listings, you shouldn't run out of people to lend to.

If she's still not convinced, I'll have to write more tomorrow.

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Thursday, August 7, 2008

Easy, free, accurate online personal finance tools.

This week, I started researching alternatives to Bank of America's MyPortfolio program -- the main reason that I'm keeping an account with BOA. After doing a little research and with the help of some friends, I found a few websites that provide a comparable service for free. Now, I'll need to think long and hard about whether I want to keep my BOA account or not.

There are few sites that I found that will synchronize your finances from all of your financial institutions and give you a compiled list of transactions that populate a spending profile. This repository of transactions will drive a graphical breakdown of your spending, showing where all of your money is going.

My favorite site so far is Mint.com. They boast that users are able to set up an account in five minutes and instantly be given suggestions on ways to save money (usually in the form of an opportunity for a lower APR credit card or a higher APR bank account). The interface is simple, and the extra features are helpful and relevant.

I particularly like the budgeting feature. After manually entering your monthly spending goals for all expense categories (some initial goals are set to values that represent your last three months of spending), Mint will tell show you how well you're adhering to your budget so far. If you're on track to spend more than your monthly budget (let's say you spent $100 of your monthly $150 gasoline budget in the first week of the month), you will be alerted by a simple change in color of your budget 'thermometer.'

Another tool compared your spending in a given category to the spending of other Mint users in other parts of the country. It will even compare your spending at a specific store to any other part of the country. I'm amused that I spent slightly more at Waffle House last month ($19) than that average American ($17). I would love to see a feature that shows you where people in your area that spend less in a certain category do their shopping. For example, if you spend 25% more than most people in your area on groceries or internet service, wouldn't it be neat to see where everyone else does their shopping or from whom they buy their internet service?

My main criticism of Mint is its inability to show my equity in my real assets. Some of Mint's competitors, like BOA's MyPortfolio, integrate with zillow.com to estimate your home's approximate value. Just because I owe tens of thousands of dollars on my home doesn't mean that I have a negative net worth. Because my house is worth more than I owe, it should improve my net worth. The same story goes for our two cars. I'd like to see an integration with a car valuing website like Kelly Blue Book. I own two cars; one is paid off and one is not. If Mint is going to take my auto loan into account when calculating my net worth, they might as well recognize that my car is worth something.

If you'd like to get a grip on your finances and have a single place to check in on them from time to time, I'd suggest visiting Mint.com. It's free and easy for those with already established online access to their bank, mortgage, auto loan, and credit card accounts.

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